24 February 2016

2016 polling round-up, 15-29.02.2016: DEM Nomination

DEM NOMINATION: NATIONAL POLLING


Quinnipiac, released 17.02.2016:
1,342 RV, MoE = +/-2.7
of them, 563 DRV, MoE = +/-4.1

Clinton 44
Sanders 42

Margin: Clinton +2

Morning Consult (R), released 17.02.2016:
1,763 RV, MoE = +/-2.0
of them, 829 DRV

Clinton 47
Sanders 39

Margin: Clinton +8



Suffolk, released 17.02.2016:
1,000 LV, MoE = +/-3.0
of them, 319 DLV

Clinton 50
Sanders 40

Margin: Clinton +10


YouGov / The Economist, released 18.02.2016:
2,000 Adult, MoE = +/-2.8
of them, D72 DLV, MoE = unknown

Clinton 53
Sanders 39

Margin: Clinton +14

IPSOS/Reuters, released 18.02.2016:
1,473 Adults, MoE = +/-2.9

of them, 628 DRV, MoE = +/-4.5

Clinton 53
Sanders 42

Margin: Clinton +11

NBC/WSJ, released 18.02.2016:
800 RV, MoE = +/-3.5
of them, 400 DLV

Clinton 53
Sanders 42

Margin: Clinton +11

Fox News Poll, released 18.02.2016:
1,031 RV, MoE = +/-3.0
of them, 404 DLV

Sanders 47
Clinton  44

Margin: Sanders +3

CBS News, released 19.02.2016:
2,007 Adults, of them, 264 DLV (polling group is FAR too small, this is shameful)

Clinton 47
Sanders 39

Margin: Clinton +8

Ipsos/Reuters, released 19.02.2016:
1,213 RV, MoE = +/-3.0
of them, 543 DRV

Clinton 53
Sanders 42

Margin: Clinton +11


NBC/Survey Monkey, released 23.02.2016:
11,662 Adults, MoE = +/-1.0
of them, 3,338 DRV, MoE = less than +/-1.5

Clinton 51
Sanders 40

Margin: Clinton +11


RMU (Robert Morris University), released 24.02.2016 (taken 11-15.02.2016):
1,000 Adults, MoE = +/-3.0
of them, 287 DLV, MoE = +/-7.0

Clinton 57
Sanders 36

Margin: Clinton +21

xxxx


DEM NOMINATION: STATE POLLING

Alabama:

PPP (D) / American Family Voices, released 17.02.2016:
500 DLV, MoE = +/-4.4

Clinton 59
Sanders 31

Margin: Clinton +28



Arkansas:

PPP (D) / American Family Voices, released 17.02.2016:
523 DLV, MoE = +/-4.3

Clinton 57
Sanders 32

Margin: Clinton +25

Georgia:

PPP (D) / American Family Voices, released 17.02.2016:
500 DLV, MoE = +/-4.4

Clinton 60
Sanders 26

Margin: Clinton +34

Landmark Communications /Rosetta Stone / WSB TV, released 22.02.2016:
700 DLV, MoE = +/-3.7

Clinton 72
Sanders 20

Margin: Clinton +52

Opinion Savvy / Fox 5 Atlanta, released 23.02.2016:
491 DLV, MoE = +/-4.4

Clinton 57
Sanders 29

Margin: Clinton +38


Illinois:

SIU: Simon Poll, released 22.02.2016:
691 LV, MoE = +/-3.7
of them, 422 DLV

Clinton 51
Sanders 32

Margin: Clinton +19


Louisiana:

PPP (D) / American Family Voices, released 17.02.2016:
548 DLV, MoE = +/-4.2

Clinton 60
Sanders 29

Margin: Clinton +31

Maryland:

Groucher Poll, released 24.02.2016:
307 DLV, MoE = +/-5.6

Clinton 58
Sanders 28

Margin: Clinton +30


Massachusetts:

PPP (D) / American Family Voices, released 17.02.2016:
538 DLV, MoE = +/-4.2

Sanders 49
Clinton 42

Margin: Sanders +7


Emerson College, released 22.02.2016:
417 DLV, MoE = +/-4.75

Sanders 46Clinton 46

Margin: TIE

Michigan:

PPP (D) / American Family Voices, released 17.02.2016:
500 DLV, MoE = +/-4.4

Clinton 50
Sanders 40

Margin: Clinton +10

Mitchell Research (R) / Fox News Detroit, released 19.02.2016:
430 DLV, MoE = +/-4.69

Clinton 60
Sanders 27

Margin: Clinton +33

ARG, released 20.02.2016:
400 DLV, MoE = +/-5.0

Clinton 53
Sanders 40

Margin: Clinton +13


Mississippi:

PPP (D) / American Family Voices, released 17.02.2016:
515 DLV, MoE = +/-4.3

Clinton 60
Sanders 26

Margin: Clinton +34


Nevada:

CNN/ORC, released 17.02.2016:
1,006 Adults, MoE = +/-3.0
of them, 282 DLV, MoE = ?

Clinton 48
Sanders 47

Margin: Clinton +1

Gravis Marketing (R) / OANN, released 18.02.2016:
516 DLV, MoE = +/-4.0

Clinton 53
Sanders 47

Margin: Clinton +6

New Jersey:

Rutgers / Eagleton, released 23.02.2016:
304 DRV, MoE = +/-6,2

Clinton 55
Sanders 32

Margin: Clinton +23


North Carolina:

SUSA/TWC News, released 17.02.2016:
1,650 Adults, MoE = +/-3.1
of them, 449 DLV, MoE = +/-4.7

Clinton 51
Sanders 36

Margin: Clinton +15

Elon University, released 22.02.2016:
1,530 LV, MoE = +2.51
of them, 728 DLV

Clinton 47
Sanders 37

Margin: Clinton +10

PPP (D), released 22.02.2016:
1,291 RV, MoE = +/-2.7
of them, 575 DLV

Clinton 52
Sanders 35


Margin: Clinton +17

Ohio:

Quinnipiac, released 23.02.2016:
518 DLV, MoE = +/-4,3

Clinton 55
Sanders 40

Margin: Clinton +15



Oklahoma:

PPP (D) / American Family Voices, released 17.02.2016:
542 DLV, MoE = +/-4.2

Clinton 46
Sanders 44

Margin: Clinton +2


South Carolina:

Gravis (R) / OANN, released 15.02.2016:
1788 RV, MoE = +/-2.0
of them, 5,07 DLV, MoE = +/-4.0

Margin: Clinton +18



PPP (D), released 16.02.2016:
525 DLV, MoE = +/-4.3

Clinton 55
Sanders 34

Margin: Clinton +21


CNN/ORC, released 17.02.2016:
1,006 Adults, MoE = +/-3.0
of them, 280 DLV, MoE = ?

Clinton 56
Sanders 38

Margin: Clinton +18

ARG, released 17.02.2016:
400 DLV, MoE = +/-5.0

Clinton 61
Sanders 31

Margin: Clinton +30

Monmouth, released 18.02.2016:
403 DLV, MoE = +/-4.9

Clinton 59
Sanders 30

Margin: Clinton +29

ARG, released 18.02.2016:
400 DLV, MoE = +/-5.0

Clinton 59
Sanders 33

Margin: Clinton +26

Bloomberg / Selzer, released 18.02.2016:
403 DLV, MoE = +/-4.9

Clinton 53
Sanders 31

Margin: Clinton +22

Fox News, released 18.02.2016:
1,401 LV, MoE =
of them, 642 DLV, MoE = +/-4.0

Clinton 56
Sanders 28

Margin: Clinton +27

ARG, released 19.02.2016:
400 DLV, MoE = +/-5.0

Clinton 61
Sanders 32

Margin: Clinton +29

NBC/WSJ/Marist, released 19.02.2016:
2,567 Adults, MoE = +/-1.9
of them, 425 DLV

Clinton 60
Sanders 32

Margin: Clinton +28


xxx

Tennessee:

PPP (D) / American Family Voices, released 17.02.2016:
500 DLV, MoE = +/-4.4

Clinton 58
Sanders 32

Margin: Clinton +26

UT / Texas Tribune, released 22.02.2016:
324 DLV, MoE = +/-5.44

Clinton 54
Sanders 44

Margin: Clinton +10


Texas:

PPP (D) / American Family Voices, released 17.02.2016:
515 DLV, MoE = +/-4.3

Clinton 57
Sanders 34

Margin: Clinton +23

Emerson College, released 24.02.2016:
328 DLV, MoE = +/-5.4

Clinton 56
Sanders 40

Margin: Clinton +16


Utah:

Dan Jones and Associates (R), released 22.02.2016:
625 Adults, MoE = +/-3.92
of them, 305 RRV

Clinton 51
Sanders 44

Margin: Clinton +7



Vermont:

PPP (D) / American Family Voices, released 17.02.2016:
693 DLV, MoE = +/-3.7

Sanders 86
Clinton 10

Margin: Sanders +76

Castleton University / Vermont Public Radio, released 22.02.2016:
895 Adults, MoE = +/-3.27
of them, 344 DLV

Sanders 78
Clinton 13

Margin: Sanders +65


Virginia:

Christopher Newport University, released 16.02.2016:
735 RV, MoE = +/-4.3
of them, 286 DLV, MoE = +/-7.3

Clinton 52
Sanders 40

Margin: Clinton +12

The MoE for the Democratic portion of this poll is WAY too high. This is simply not acceptable in any real polling world.


PPP (D) / American Family Voices, released 17.02.2016:
500 DLV, MoE = +/-4.4

Clinton 56
Sanders 34

Margin: Clinton +22



West Virginia:

R.L. Repass, released 22.02.2016:
411 LV, MoE = +/-4.9
of them, 159 RLV, MoE = +7 or more


Sanders 57
Clinton 29

Margin: Sanders +28






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