24 February 2016

2016 polling round-up, 15-29.02.2016: D-vs-R Presidential Matchups

D vs. R matchups: NATIONAL POLLING


Morning Consult (R), released 17.02.2016:
1,763 RV, MoE = +/-2.0

Clinton 43 / Trump 42, margin = Clinton +1
Clinton 44 / Cruz 38, margin = Clinton +6
Clinton 42 / Kasich 36, margin = Clinton +6
Clinton 44 / Bush 37, margin = Clinton +7
Clinton 45 / Carson 37, margin = Clinton +8
Clinton 45 / Rubio 35, margin = Clinton +10
Clinton 37 / Trump 35 Bloomberg 13, margin = Clinton +2
Clinton 38 / Cruz 30 Bloomberg 14, margin = Clinton +8

Sanders 47 / Trump 38, margin = Sanders +9
Sanders 47 / Carson 32, margin = Sanders +15
Sanders 46 / Kasich 29, margin = Sanders +17
Sanders 48 / Rubio 31, margin = Sanders +17
Sanders 48 / Bush 30, margin = Sanders +18
Sanders 50 / Cruz 32, margin = Sanders +18
Sanders 38 / Trump 36 / Bloomberg 10, margin = Sanders +2
Sanders 41 / Cruz 28 Bloomberg 12, margin = Sanders +13

Suffolk, released 17.02.2016:
1,000 LV, MoE = +/-3.0

Clinton 38 / Kasich 49, margin = Kasich +11
Clinton 42 / Rubio 48, margin = Rubio +6
Clinton 43 / Trump 45, margin = Trump +2
Clinton 44 / Cruz 45, margin = Cruz +1
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Sanders 42 / Rubio 46, margin = Rubio +4
Sanders 41 / Kasich 44, margin = Kasich +3
Sanders 42 / Cruz 44, margin = Cruz +2
Sanders 43 / Trump 44, margin = Trump +1

Quinnipiac, released 18.02.2016:
1,342 RV, MoE = +/-2.7

Clinton 39 / Kasich 47, margin = Kasich +8
Clinton 41 / Rubio 48, margin = Rubio +7
Clinton 43 / Cruz 46, margin = Cruz +3
Clinton 43 / Bush 44, margin = Bush +1
Clinton 44 / Trump 43, margin = Clinton +1

Sanders 45 / Kasich 41, margin = Sanders +4
Sanders 47 / Rubio 41, margin = Sanders +6
Sanders 48 / Trump 42, margin = Sanders +6
Sanders 49 / Cruz 39, margin = Sanders +10
Sanders 49 / Bush 39, margin = Sanders +10
Sanders 39 / Cruz 33 Bloomberg 14, margin = Sanders +6
Sanders 38 / Trump 38 Bloomberg 12, margin = TIE

Fox News Poll, released 18.02.2016:
1,031 RV, MoE = +/-3.0

Clinton 44 / Rubio 48, margin = Rubio +4
Clinton 44 / Kasich 47, margin = Kasich +3
Clinton 45 / Cruz 46, margin = Cruz +1
Clinton 45 / Bush 46, margin = Bush +1
Clinton 47 / Trump 42, margin = Clinton +5
Clinton 39 / Trump 37 Bloomberg 17, margin = Clinton +2

Sanders 53 / Trump 38, margin = Sanders +15
Sanders 46 / Trump 35 Bloomberg 12, margin = Sanders +11


Ipsos/Reuters, released 19.02.2016:
1,213 RV, MoE = +/-3.0

Clinton 44 / Trump 37, margin = Clinton +7
Clinton 46 / Cruz 29, margin = Clinton +17
Clinton 38 / Trump 34 Bloomberg 11, margin = Clinton +4
Clinton 40 / Cruz 25 Bloomberg 11, margin = Clinton +15

Sanders 47 / Cruz 29, margin = Sanders +18
Sanders 44 / Trump 35, margin = Sanders +9
Sanders 39 / Trump 33 Bloomberg 11, margin = Sanders +6
Sanders 44 / Cruz 24 Bloomberg 10, margin = Sanders +20


CNN/ORC, released 01.03.2016:
920 RV, MoE = +/-3.0

Clinton 47 / Rubio 50, margin = Rubio +3
Clinton 48 / Cruz 49, margin = Cruz +1
Clinton 52 / Trump 44, margin = Clinton +8
Clinton 38 / Trump 37 Bloomberg 23, margin = Clinton +1

Sanders 53 / Rubio 45, margin = Sanders +8
Sanders 55 / Trump 43, margin = Sanders +12
Sanders 57 / Cruz 40, margin = Sanders +17
Sanders 44 / Trump 36 Bloomberg 18, margin = Sanders +8

D vs. R matchups: STATE POLLING



North Carolina:

SUSA/TWC News, released 17.02.2016:
1,250 LV, MoE = +/-2.8

Clinton 42 / Cruz 49, margin = Rubio +7
Clinton 43 / Cruz 48, margin = Cruz +5
Clinton 43 / Trump 45, margin = Trump +2

Sanders 44 / Trump 44, margin = TIE
Sanders 45 / Rubio 44, margin = Sanders +1
Sanders 46 / Cruz 42, margin = Sanders +4

Elon University, released 22.02.2016:
1,530 LV, MoE = +2.51

Clinton 45 / Rubio 48, margin = Rubio +3
Clinton 46 / Cruz 46, margin = TIE
Clinton 47 / Trump 41, margin = Clinton +6
Clinton 37 / Trump 31 Bloomberg 17, margin = Clinton +6

Sanders 43 / Rubio 46, margin = Rubio +3
Sanders 47 / Cruz 43, margin = Sanders +3
Sanders 48 / Trump 40, margin = Sanders +8



PPP (D), released 22.02.2016:
1,291 RV, MoE = +/-2.7

Clinton 40 / Rubio 49, margin = Rubio +9
Clinton 43 / Cruz 46, margin = Cruz +3
Clinton 42 / Bush 44, margin = Bush +2
Clinton 43 / Trump 44, margin = Trump +1

Sanders 41 / Rubio 45, margin = Rubio +4
Sanders 43 / Cruz 43, margin = TIE
Sanders 43 / Bush 42, margin = Sanders +1
Sanders 44 / Trump 42, margin = Sanders +2





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