05 January 2016

2016 polling round-up, 01-15.01.2016: DEM Nomination

Welcome to 2016!

DEM NOMINATION: NATIONAL POLLING

NBC News / SurveyMonkey, released 05.01.2016:
3,700 adults, MoE = +/-1.9
of them, 1,060 DRV, MoE = +/-3.3

Clinton 53
Sanders 36
O'Malley 2

Margin: Clinton +17


IPSOS/Reuters core-approval poll, released 07.01.2016:
1,754 Adults, MoE = +/-2.7
of them, 709 DRV, MoE = +/-4.2


Margin = Clinton +17 (DRV +IRV, D-leaning), Clinton +28 (DRV only), absolute TIE (+/-0) (IRV, D-leaning only)

FOX News Poll, released 08.01.2016:
1,006 RV, MoE = +/-3.0
of them, 360 DRV, MoE = +/-5.0

Clinton 54
Sanders 39
O'Malley 3

Margin: Clinton +15

The Economist / YouGov, released 08.01.2016:
2,000 Adults, MoE = +/-2.8
of them, 533 DLV

Clinton 54
Sanders 37
O'Malley 3

Margin: Clinton +17


IDB/TIPP, released 09.01.2016:
967 Adults, MoE = +/-3.2
of them, 397 DRV

Clinton 43
Sanders 39
O'Malley 3

Margin: Clinton +4

Gravis (R) / OANN, released 12.01.2016:
2,416 RV, MoE = +/-2.0
of them, 890 DLV, MoE = +/-3.3



Margin: Clinton +39

NBC News / SurveyMonkey, released 12.01.2016:
9,476 Adults, MoE = +/-1.4
of them, 2,619 DRV, MoE = +/-2.4

Clinton 52
Sanders 37
O'Malley 2

Margin: Clinton +15

CBS/NYT, released 12.01.2016:
1,276 Adults, MoE =
of them, 389 DLV, MoE =

Clinton 48
Sanders 41
O'Malley 2

Margin: Clinton +7

Morning Consult (R), released 13.01.2016:
2,173 RV, MoE = +/-2.0
of them, 909 DRV, MoE =

Clinton 49
Sanders 32
O'Malley 3

Margin: Clinton +17


IPSOS/Reuters, released 13.01.2016:
1,602 Adults, MoE = +/-2.8
of them, 696 DRV, MoE = +/-4.2



Margin = Clinton +11 (DRV +IRV, D-leaning), Clinton +19 (DRV only), absolute TIE (+/-0) (IRV, D-leaning only)



DEM NOMINATION: STATE POLLING


California:

Field Poll, released 06.01.2016;



Margin: Clinton +11

Iowa:

NBC News / WSJ / Marist, released 10.01.2016:
2,821 RV, MoE = +/-1.8
of them, 422 DLV, MoE = +/-4.8

Clinton 48
Sanders 45
O'Malley 5

Margin: Clinton +3

ARG, released 11.01.2016:
600 DLV, MoE = +/-4.0

Sanders 47
Clinton 44
O'Malley 3

Margin: Sanders +3

PPP (D), released 12.01.2016:
1,901 RV, MoE = +/-2.3
of them, 580 DLV, MoE = +/-4.1

Clinton 48
Sanders 40
O'Malley 8

Margin: Clinton +8

Quinnipiac, released 12.01.2016;
492 DLV, MoE = +/-4.4

Sanders 49
Clinton 44
O'Malley 4

Margin: Sanders +5

Des Moines Register / Bloomberg / Selzer, released 13.01.2016:
504 DLV, MoE = +/-4.4

Clinton 42
Sanders 40
O'Malley 4

Margin: Clinton +2



Michigan:

Overtime Politics, released 05.01.2015:*

Clinton 47
Sanders 40
O'Malley 2

Margin: Clinton +7

*Overtime Politics is a new, start-up polling firm to which I have had email contact. More details over at the Republican polling link for this time-frame.



New Hampshire:


PPP (D), released 06.01.2016:
480 DLV, MoE = +/-4.5

Clinton 47
Sanders 44
O'Malley 3

Margin: Clinton +3


FOX News, released 08.01.2016:
800 RV, MoE = +/-3.5
of them, 386 DRV, MoE = +/-6.0

Clinton 50
Sanders 37
O'Malley 3

Margin: Clinton +13


NBC News / WSJ / Marist, released 10.01.2016:
1,888 RV, MoE = +/-2.3
of them, 690 DRV, MoE = +/-3.7

Sanders 50
Clinton 46
O'Malley 1

Margin: Sanders +4

ARG, released 11.01.2016:
600 DLV, MoE = +/-4.0

Sanders 47
Clinton 44
O'Malley 3

Margin: Sanders +3

Monmouth University, released 12.01.2016:
413 DLV, MoE = +/-4.6

Sanders 53
Clinton 39
O'Malley 5

Margin: Sanders +14

Overtime Politics, released 14.01.2016:
399 DLV, MoE = +/-5.1

Sanders 54
Clinton 40
O'Malley 4

Margin: Sanders +14

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