17 December 2015

2016 polling round-up, 06-31.12.2015: DEM Nomination

DEM NOMINATION: NATIONAL POLLING


Morning Consult (R), released 16.12.2015:
4,038 RV, MoE = +/-2.0
of them, 1,790 DRV, MoE = not listed

Clinton 52
Sanders 27
O'Malley 2

Margin: Clinton +25

Monmouth University, released 16.12.2015:
1,006 Adults, MoE = +/-3.0
of them, 357 DRV, MoE = +/-5.1

Clinton 59
Sanders 26
O'Malley 4

Margin: Clinton +33

IPSOS/Reuters, released 16.12.2015:
765 DRV, MoE = +/-4.0



Margin = Clinton +18 (DRV +IRV, D-leaning), Clinton +29 (DRV only), Sanders +14 (IRV, D-leaning only)

ABC / WAPO, released 17.12.2015:
1,002 Adults, MoE = +/-3.5
of them, 377 DRV, MoE = +/- ???

Clinton 59
Sanders 28
O'Malley 5

Margin: Clinton +31


PPP (D), released 18.12.2015:
525 DLV, MoE = +/-4.3

Clinton 56
Sanders 28
O'Malley 9

Margin: Clinton +28


FOX News Poll, released 18.12.2015:
1,013 RV, MoE = +/-3.0
of them, 390 DLV, MoE = +/-5.0

Clinton 56
Sanders 34
O'Malley 2

Margin: Clinton +22

Emerson College, released 21.12.2015:
754 RV, MoE = +/-3.5
of them, 332 DLV, MoE = +/-5.3

Clinton 65.4
Sanders 25.6
O'Malley 2.4

Margin: Clinton +39.8

Quinnipiac, released 22.12.2015:
1,140 RV, MoE = +/-2.9
of them, 462 DRV, MoE = +/-4.6

Clinton 61
Sanders 30
O'Malley 2

Margin: Clinton +31

Rasmussen Reports, released 22.12.2015:
546 DLV, MoE = +/-4.0

Clinton 46
Sanders 30
O'Malley 7

Margin: Clinton +16


CNN/ORC, released 23.12.2015:
927 RV, MoE = +/-3.0
of them, 414 DRV, MoE = +/-5.0

Clinton 50
Sanders 34
O'Malley 73

Margin: Clinton +16


IPSOS/Reuters, released 23.12.2015:
1,593 Adults, MoE = +/-2.8
of them, 626 RRV, MoE = +/-4.5



Margin = Clinton +19 (DRV +IRV, D-leaning), Clinton +27 (DRV only), Clinton +2 (IRV, D-leaning only)


The Economist / YouGov, released 23.12.2015:
2,000 Adults, MoE = +/-3.1
of them, 565 DLV, MoE = +/-5.0

Clinton 53
Sanders 39
O'Malley 2

Margin: Clinton +14


IPSOS/Reuters, released 31.12.2015:
2,005 Adults, MoE = +/-2.5
of them, 825 DRV, MoE = +/-3.9



Margin = Clinton +17 (DRV +IRV, D-leaning), Clinton +25 (DRV only), Clinton +1 (IRV, D-leaning only)


DEM NOMINATION: STATE POLLING

Iowa:


CBS News / YouGov, released 18.12.2015:
1,469 RV, MoE = +/-5.0
of them, 602 DLV (likely caucus goers)


Margin: Clinton +5


Gravis (R), released 23.12.2015:
1,027 RV, MoE = +/-3.0
of them, 418 DLV, MoE = +/-5.0


Margin: Clinton +18

Nevada:

Gravis (R), released 30.12.2015:
909 LV, MoE = +/-3.0
of them 326 DLV, MoE = +/-5.0



Margin: Clinton +23

New Hampshire:

Franklin Pierce /Boston Herald, released 17.12.2015:
410 DLV, MoE = +/-4.7


Sanders 48.1
Clinton 45.9
O'Malley 1.9

Margin: Sanders +2.2



CBS News / YouGov, released 18.12.2015:
1,469 RV, MoE = +/-5.0
of them, 459 DLV


Margin: Sanders +14


ARG, released 23.12.2015:
600 DLV, MoE = +/-4.0

Clinton 46
Sanders 43
O'Malley 3

Margin: Clinton +3

South Carolina:


CBS News / YouGov, released 18.12.2015:
1,469 RV, MoE = +/-5.0
of them, 852 DLV



Margin: Clinton +36
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