16 September 2015

2016 polling round-up, 15-30.09.2015: fav/unfav, approve/disapprove, other issues



Presidential Approval / Disapproval - NATIONAL

Morning Consult, released 16.09.2015:
2,023 RV, MoE = +/-2.0

Obama approve 43 / disapprove 53, -10


The Economist/YouGov, released 17.09.2015:
Overall, 2,000 Adults, MoE = +/-2.8

Obama approve 47 / disapprove 47, +/-0

Ipsos/Reuters, released 17.09.2015:
Overall, 1,570 Adults, MoE = +/-2.8

Obama approve 44 / disapprove 49, -5


NBC / Survey Monkey, released 21.09.2015:
5,113, MoE = +/-2.0

Obama approve 48 / disapprove 52, -4

ARG, released 21.09.2015:
1,100 Adults, MoE = +/-3.0

Obama approve 46 / disapprove 51, -5

Gallup, released 21.09.2015:
1,500 Adults, MoE = +/-3.0

Obama approve 45 / disapprove 52, -7


Morning Consult, released 21.09.2015:
4,033 RV, MoE = +/-2.0

Obama approve 42 / disapprove 55, -13


FOX NEWS, released 23.09.2015:
1,013 RV, MoE = +/-3.0

Obama FAV 47 / UNFAV 51, -4

Bloomberg/Selzer, released 23.09.2015:
1,001 Adults, MoE = +/-3.1

Obama approve 46 / disapprove 46, -13

Rasmussen Reports, released 26.09.2015:
1,500 RV, MoE = +/-4.0

Obama approve 49 / disapprove 51, -2


IPSOS/Reuters, released 26.09.2015:
1,582 Adults, MoE = +/-2.8

Obama approve 45 / disapprove 50, -5

NBC/WSJ, released 28.09.2015:
1,000 Adults, MoE = +/-3.1

Obama approve 47 / disapprove 47, +/-0

Suffolk, released 30.09.2015:
1,000 LV, MoE = +/-3.0

Obama approve 40 / disapprove 50, -10


Morning Consult, released 30.09.2015:
1,543 RV, MoE = +/-2.0

Obama approve 40 / disapprove 56, -16


Presidential Approval / Disapproval - STATE

Kentucky:

SUSA, released 29.09.2015:
866 RV, MoE = +/-3.3

Obama approve 31 / disapprove 61, -30


North Carolina:

Elon University, released 26.09.2015;
1,075 RV, MoE = +/-3.0

Obama approve 41.6 / disapprove 50.6, -9


PPP (D), released 29.09.2015:
1,269 RV, MoE = +/-2.8

Obama approve 42 / disapprove 52, -10


Wisconsin:

Marquette Poll, released 29.09.2015:
803 RV, MoE = +/-4.1

Obama approve 51 / disapprove 45, +6


FAV / UNFAV - 2016 Presidential Candidates - National


Morning Consult, released 16.09.2015:
2,023 RV, MoE = +/-2.0

Carson Fav 40 / Unfav 23, +17
Sanders Fav 39 / Unfav 30, +9
--------------------------------------
Clinton, Fav 47 / Unfav 48, -1
Fiorina Fav 26 / Unfav 29, -3
Webb Fav 16 / Unfav 20, -4
Rubio Fav 30 / Unfav 34, -4
Kasich Fav 20 / Unfav 25, -5
O'Malley  Fav 16 / Unfav 23, -7
Bush, Jeb Fav 37 / Unfav 45, -8
Chafee Fav 12 / Unfav 21, -9
Walker Fav 22 / Unfav 34, -12
Cruz Fav 26 / Unfav 40, -14
Trump Fav 39 / Unfav 53, -14
Paul Fav 27 / Unfav 42, -15
Jindal Fav 18 / Unfav 34, -16
Huckabee Fav 28 / Unfav 45, -17
Pataki Fav 13 / Unfav 31, -18
Santorum Fav 21 / Unfav 41, -20
Christie Fav 26 / Unfav 49, -23
Graham Fav 13 / Unfav 37, -25



The Economist/YouGov, released 17.09.2015:
Overall, 2,000 Adults, MoE = +/-2.8


Carson Fav 41 / Unfav 29, +12
Biden Fav 48 / Unfav 37, +11
Sanders Fav 39 / Unfav 33, +6
-------------------------------------------
Fiorina Fav 32 / Unfav 32, +/-0
-------------------------------------------
Rubio Fav 33 / Unfav 40, -6
Kasich Fav 23 / Unfav 30, -7
Webb Fav 15 / Unfav 25, -10
Clinton, Fav 41 / Unfav 52, -12
Walker Fav 27 / Unfav 39, -12
O'Malley  Fav 16 / Unfav 28, -12
Trump Fav 39 / Unfav 53, -14
Huckabee Fav 31 / Unfav 45, -14
Chafee Fav 11 / Unfav 26, -15
Bush, Jeb Fav 35 / Unfav 51, -16
Paul Fav 28 / Unfav 44, -16
Gilmore Fav 11 / Unfav 27, -16
Jindal Fav 22 / Unfav 39, -17
Pataki Fav 16 / Unfav 36, -20
Cruz Fav 28 / Unfav 50, -22
Perry Fav 23 / Unfav 47, -24
Santorum Fav 22 / Unfav 48, -26
Graham Fav 16 / Unfav 45, -29


CNN/ORC, released 20.09.2015:
1,006 Adults, MoE = +/-3.0

Carson Fav 40 / Unfav 20, +20
Fiorina Fav 34 / Unfav 23, +11
Rubio Fav 32 / Unfav 29, +3
-------------------------------
Kasich Fav 21 / Unfav 22, -1
Christie Fav 32 / Unfav 39, -7
Cruz Fav 27 / Unfav 35, -8
Huckabee Fav 30 / Unfav 38, -8
Bush, Jeb Fav 34 / Unfav 46, -12
Walker Fav 19 / Unfav 31, -12
Paul Fav 25 / Unfav 38, -13
Trump Fav 31 / Unfav 59, -28




Morning Consult, released 21.09.2015:
4,033 RV, MoE = +/-2.0

Carson Fav 42 / Unfav 25, +17
Sanders Fav 40 / Unfav 29, +11
Fiorina Fav 35 / Unfav 30, +5

---------------------------------------

Rubio Fav 32 / Unfav 33, -1
Clinton, Fav 45 / Unfav 51, -6
Kasich Fav 20 / Unfav 28, -8
Webb Fav 14 / Unfav 22, -8
O'Malley Fav 14 / Unfav 23, -9
Bush, Jeb Fav 37 / Unfav 47, -10
Trump Fav 41 / Unfav 52, -11
Chafee Fav 11 / Unfav 22, -11
Huckabee Fav 29 / Unfav 42, -13
Cruz Fav 27 / Unfav 40, -13
Walker Fav 21 / Unfav 35, -14
Jindal Fav 19 / Unfav 33, -14
Christie Fav 30 / Unfav 45, -15
Paul Fav 27 / Unfav 42, -15
Graham Fav 17 / Unfav 36, -19
Pataki Fav 14 / Unfav 34, -20
Santorum Fav 21 / Unfav 42, -21

Bloomberg/Selzer, released 23.09.2015:
1,001 Adults, MoE = +/-3.1

Biden Fav 49 / Unfav 41, +8
Clinton  Fav 38 / Unfav 54, -16

Also:




FOX NEWS, released 23.09.2015:
1,013 RV, MoE = +/-3.0

Carson FAV 46 / UNFAV 27, +19
Biden FAV 49 / UNFAV 40, +9
Fiorina FAV 38 / UNFAV 31, +7
-------------------------------------------
Rubio FAV 35 / UNFAV 35, -/-0
------------------------------------------
Sanders FAV 34 / UNFAV 36, -2
Walker FAV 27 / UNFAV 31, -4
Cruz FAV 29 / UNFAV 42, -13
Kasich FAV 11 / UNFAV 25, +-14
Christie FAV 33 / UNFAV 48, -15
Clinton FAV 38 / UNFAV 56, -18
Bush FAV 34 / UNFAV 55, -21
Trump FAV 34 / UNFAV 59, -25


Quinnipiac, released 24.09.2015:

1,475 RV, MoE = +/-2.5

Carson FAV 48 / UNFAV 16, +32
Fiorina FAV 39 / UNFAV 21, +18
Biden FAV 50 / UNFAV 34, +16
Kasich FAV 27 / UNFAV 15, +12
Rubio FAV 38 / UNFAV 28, -10
Sanders FAV 35 / UNFAV 28, +7
------------------------------------------------
Webb FAV 8 / UNFAV 11, -3
Christie FAV 36 / UNFAV 42, -6
Huckabee FAV 35 / UNFAV 41, -6
Lessig FAV 2 / UNFAV 8, -6
Jindal FAV 21 / UNFAV 27, -6
Bush FAV 37 / UNFAV 44, -7
Gilmore FAV 5 / UNFAV 12, -7
O'Malley FAV 10 / UNFAV 19, -9
Cruz FAV 29 / UNFAV 39, -10
Chafee FAV 2UNFAV 13, -12
Paul FAV 30 / UNFAV 43, -13
Santorum FAV 25 / UNFAV 38, -13
Clinton FAV 41 / UNFAV 55, -14
Pataki FAV 11 / UNFAV 30, -19
Trump FAV 36 / UNFAV 57, -21
Graham FAV 16 / UNFAV 40, -24

NBC/WSJ, released 28.09.2015:
1,000 Adults, MoE = +/-3.1

(Positive/Negative view is how NBC words it, the same as FAV/UNFAV)

Biden FAV 40 / UNFAV 28, +12
Sanders FAV 32 / UNFAV 21, +11
Democratic Party FAV 41 / UNFAV 35, +6
Carson FAV 29 / UNFAV 21, +8
Fiorina FAV 27 / UNFAV 20, +7
---------------------------------------------------
Clinton FAV 39 / UNFAV 47, -8
Bush FAV 24 / UNFAV 39, -15
Republican Party FAV 29 / UNFAV 45, -16
Trump FAV 25 / UNFAV 58, -33


Suffolk, released 30.09.2015:
1,000 LV, MoE = +/-3.0

Carson FAV 40 / UNFAV 32, +8
Fiorina FAV 38 / UNFAV 33, +5
Rubio FAV 37 / UNFAV 34, +3

Bush FAV 32 / UNFAV 50, -18
Huckabee FAV 29 / UNFAV 48, -19


ABC News / WAPO, released 30.09.2015:

Carson FAV 45 / UNFAV 27, +18
Fiorina FAV 35 / UNFAV 30, +5
Trump FAV 35 / UNFAV 60, -25

Among latinos:

Carson FAV 27 / UNFAV 26, +1
Fiorina FAV 23 / UNFAV 28, -5
Trump FAV 17 / UNFAV 82, -65

FAV / UNFAV - 2016 Presidential Candidates - State




Florida:

Florida Atlantic University (FAU), released 22.09.2015:
801 RV, MoE = not listed

Carson Fav 52.6 / Unfav 30.1, +22.5
Rubio Fav 50.9 / Unfav 39.9, +12
--------------------------------------------------
Bush, Jeb Fav 42.5 / Unfav 46.8, -4.3
Clinton, Fav 40.7 / Unfav 53.7, -13
 Walker Fav 27.3 / Unfav 46,4, -19.1
Sanders Fav 31.9 / Unfav 52.1, -20.2
Trump Fav 36.1 / Unfav 58.8, -22.7
Paul Fav 22.6 / Unfav 63.5, -40.9



North Carolina:


PPP (D), released 29.09.2015:
1,269 RV, MoE = +/-2.8
parenthese = values from the previous PPP (D) poll of NC.

Carson Fav 45 / Unfav 32, +13 (+15)
Fiorina Fav 38 / Unfav 33, +5 (+4)
Rubio Fav 39 / Unfav 34, +5 ( -1)
-------------------------------------------------
Biden, Fav 42 / Unfav 44, -2 (---)
Huckabee Fav 35 / Unfav 42, (-7) -4
Cruz Fav 30 / Unfav 43, -13 (-13)
Sanders Fav 28/ Unfav 42,  -14 -12
Kasich Fav 18 / Unfav 33, -15  (-8)
Clinton, Fav 35 / Unfav 57, -22 (-23)
Trump Fav 33 / Unfav 56, -23 (-15)
Bush, Jeb Fav 26 / Unfav 53, -27 (-20)


SPECIFIC ISSUES



POPE FRANCIS:


Fox News, released 23.09.2015:
1,013 RV, MoE = +/-3.0




Need for a third party:

Gallup, released, 26.09.2015:
1,025 Adults, MoE = +/-4.0







-and-



Congressional Approval

North Carolina:

Elon University, released 26.09.2015;
1,075 RV, MoE = +/-3.0

Approve 8.8 / Disapprove 83.4, -74.6

Americans' views of Pope Francis during the week of his visit to the USA:

Quinnipiac, released 25.05.2015:
1,832 Adults, MoE = +/-2.3



North Carolina Republicans' views on certain issues:


PPP (D), released 29.09.2015:
1,269 RV, MoE = +/-2.8



-and-



Health Care:

Kaiser/PSRA, released 27.09.2015:
1,202 Adults, MoE = +/-3.0

Obama Health Care Law (ACA)

favor 41
not favor 45
margin: not favor +4



Hispanic/Latino/Immigration Issues:

Pew Hispanic Report, released 28.09.2015:






and



and



xxx

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