23 August 2015

2016 polling round-up, 22-31.08.2015: DEM Nomination

This blog entry will lengthen as the week goes by...

National:

IPSOS/Reuters, released 21.08.2015:
625 DRV, MoE = +/-4.5

Clinton 48.5
Sanders 24.8
Biden 12.0
wouldn't vote 9.6
Cuomo 2.1
O'Mally 1.0
Gillibrand 1.0
Chafee 0.6
Webb 0.4

Margin: Clinton +23.7








The Economist /YouGOV, released 25.08.2015:
2000 A, MoE = +/-2.8

Clinton 47
Sanders 26
Biden 14
undecided 9
O'Malley 1
Webb 1
Chaffee 1

Margin: Clinton +21


IPSOS/Reuters, released 25.08.2015:
531 DRV, MoE = +/-5.0

Clinton 47.4
Sanders 22.4
Biden 14.3
wouldn't vote 10.4
Webb 1.7
Cuomo 1.7
O'Malley 1.4
Gillibrand 0.5
Chafee 0.2


Margin: Clinton +25.0





Gravis Marketing (R) / OANN, released 26.08.2015:
3,567 RV, MoE = +/-2.0

Clinton 53.7
Sanders 21.0
Biden 13.4
Warren 7.1
Webb 2.1
O'Malley 2.1
Chaffee 0.9

Margin: Clinton +32.7

Because the OANN website updates the figures, here is a screenshot of the DEM numbers, since the link in future will not reflect these numbers:




Rasmussen Reports, released 26.08.2015:
536 LDV, MoE = +/-4.0

Clinton 50
Sanders 24
Webb 2
O'Malley 2
Chaffee 2

Margin: Clinton +26


Quinnipiac, released 27.08.2015:
Overall: 1,563 RV, MoE = +/-2.5
of them, 647 DRV, MoE = +/-3.9

Clinton 45
Sanders 22
Biden 18
DN/NA 11
Webb 1
O'Malley 1
Chaffee 0

Margin: Clinton +22


IPSOS/Reuters, released 27.08.2015:
Overall: 1,152 Adults, MoE = +/-3.3
of them, 445 DRV, MoE = +/-5.2





























Margin: Clinton +22 (all), Clinton +26 (DRV only), Clinton +14 (IRV only)


TOP-3, IPSOS:







Margin: Clinton +23 (all), Clinton +28 (DRV only), Clinton +15 (IRV only)


Morning Consult, released 31.08.2015:
Overall, 2,015 RV, MoE = +/-2.0
of them, 9,413 DRV, MoE = likely +/-3.5

Clinton 52
Sanders 23
undecided/DN 4
Webb 2
O'Malley 1
Chaffee 1

Margin: Clinton +29

State DEM nomination polling:


Iowa:

Suffolk/USA today, released 25.08.2015:
500 DLV, MoE = +/-4.4

Clinton 54
Sanders 20
Biden 11
undecided 10
O'Malley 4
Webb 1
Chaffee 0

Margin: Clinton +34

Selzer, released 29.08.2015:
404 DLV, MoE = +/-4.9









Margin: Clinton +7


New Hamshire:

PPP (D), released 25.08.2015:
370 DRV, MoE = +/-5.1

Sanders 42
Clinton 35
undecided 10
Webb 4
Chaffee 2
Lessig 1


Margin: Sanders +7

West Virginia:

Orion Strategies, released 27.08.2015:
406 Respondents overall, MoE = +/-4.9

Other/Undecided 49
Clinton 23
Biden 16
Sanders 12

Margin: Other/Undecided +26, Clinton +7

xxx



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