22 November 2012

Preliminary Totals VII, 11/22/2012: Obama +3.32%, California details....

Just 2 days ago, on 11/20/2012, the statistic stood at Obama +3.22% and 125,904,219 votes nationally.

Today, 11/22/2012, at 07:00 AM EST, the statistic has again moved upward to Obama +3.32%, Obama 50.83% to Romney 47.51%, and 126,274,972 votes nationally. That is an additional 370,273 votes since Tuesday, but most of them came out of California. Here, first, the national figures alone:


USA DEM GOP IND Total DEM % GOP % IND % Margin Mar % USA % of NPV growth rate













2012 64179815 59992933 2102194 126274942 50,83% 47,51% 1,66% 4186882 3,32% 2012 100,00%
2008 69499428 59950323 2009529 131459280 52,87% 45,60% 1,53% 9549105 7,26% 2008 100,00%
Diff: -5319613 42610 92665 -5184338 -2,04% 1,91% 0,14% -5362223 -3,95% Diff: 0,00% -3,94%

Currently, 5,362,223 less votes have been cast in 2012 than were cast in 2008. that is ONE HALF of the number that pundits were throwing around late on election night, just a friendly reminder that it is always foolhardy to try to quote exact stats immediately after an election, for they are constantly changing for about 7 weeks. 5,362,223 sounds like a lot, and it is, but in relation to the total national vote, that is a growth rate of just -3.94%.

The complete table for 11/22 is HERE AT GOOGLE DRIVE. Most of it is also at the end of this report.

On to California. Some really necessary, solid information. First, California at a glance:


DEM GOP IND Total DEM % GOP % IND % Margin Mar % USA % of NPV growth rate
California 2012 7262836 4580933 294124 12137893 59,84% 37,74% 2,42% 2681903 22,10% California 2012 9,61%
California 2008 8274473 5011781 291011 13577265 60,94% 36,91% 2,14% 3262692 24,03% California 2008 10,33%
Diff: -1011637 -430848 3113 -1439372 -1,11% 0,83% 0,28% -580789 -1,94% Diff: -0,72% -10,60%

Right now, 1.44 million less votes have been cast in California than were cast in 2008.

The Field Poll, in its final poll, estimated that right about 1 million less votes would be case in 2012 vis-a-vis 2008.

How many votes are left to count? Well, we have an exact figure, which you can find at this California website. According to their website, 12,313,691 votes were cast. Until now, at least in the Presidential race, 12,137,893 votes have been counted. That means that 175,798 votes are left to be counted. Now, not every single one of them will be for President. There is in almost every case a very small number of ballots that are cast for other races, but left blank for the Presidential race, but let's use the 175,798 as a baseline, at least. If all of them are indeed counted, then, -1,439,372 + 175,798 = -1,263,574, so it looks like we will be 1.26 million votes shy of the 2008 total vote in the Golden State, pretty much on par with this specific prediction made in the Field Poll.

Not only that, the website does a complete listing of how far along each county is. Of the 58 counties in California, 7 have completed their canvass reports and will be adding no more details to them. 22 counties have done what is called a FENU: Final Election Night Update, from 11/06, and will only do an update at the 28 day deadline, which is December 3rd. The lion's share of the ca. 176,000 votes left out in California will probably come from these counties. The rest of the counties do an irregular county canvass update and send their date to the main BOE at a time that is convenient for them, and for this reason, we see that the numbers in California have been steadily changing.

About Obama's margin: he now stands at a whalloping +22.10%, which is still under his +24.03% from 2008, but let's not kid ourselves. This is a MASSIVE margin, the third highest in California in 80 years, after 1932 and 2008. And a +2.7 MILLION vote margin is simply huge. It has been the main driver of Obama's ever rising national margin over Republican nominee Mitt Romney.

How did the pollsters do in California? Well, most of them did pretty badly, as you will see.

Here was the composite polling for California for the entire year:


Nr. CALIFORNIA Date Sample MoE Obama Romney Und Mar.

AVERAGE N/A N/A N/A 54,60 38,80 6,60 15,80


















28 YouGov 04.11.12 1575 LV +/-3.5 55 40 5 15
27 Field 02.11.12 1566 LV +/-3.6 54 39 7 15
26 CBRT / Pepperdine 30.10.12 2115 LV +/-3.0 56 33 11 23
25 USC / LA Times 27.10.12 1440 LV
55 41 4 14
24 PPIC 25.10.12 2006 A
53 41 6 12
23 Reason / Rupe 19.10.12 508 LV +/-5.1 53 38 9 15
22 YouGov 16.10.12 1169 LV +/-3.5 58 39 3 19
21 CBRT / Pepperdine 11.10.12 890 LV +/-3.4 54 32,9 13,1 21,1
20 SUSA 10.10.12 539 LV +/-4.3 53 39 8 14
19 YouGov 21.09.12 1456 RV +/-3.1 56 38 6 18
18 PPIC 20.09.12 2003 A +/-3.9 53 39 8 14
17 Field 19.09.12 891 LV +/-3.4 58 34 8 24
16 CBRT / Pepperdine 13.09.12 900 LV? +/-4.0 55,40 33,40 11,20 22,00
15 SUSA 12.09.12 524 LV +/-4.3 57 35 8 22
14 USC / LA Times 23.08.12 1041 LV +/-3.0 55,60 32,70 11,70 22,90
13 PPIC 13.08.12 1131 LV +/-3.6 51 40 9 11
12 Pepperdine U 20.07.12 812 LV +/-4.0 51,90 32,60 15,50 19,30
11 Field 06.07.12 997 RV +/-3.1 55 37 8 18
10 SUSA 01.06.12 1575 RV +/-2.5 57 36 7 21
9 Field 01.06.12 918 RV +/-3.8 48 32 20 16
8 USC / LA Times 29.05.12 1002 RV +/-3.5 56 37 7 19
7 PPIC 24.05.12 2002 A +/-3.4 50 39 11 11
6 SUSA 04.04.12 1995 RV +/-2.2 62 31 7 31
5 USC / LA Times 24.03.12 1500 RV +/-2.9 57 36 7 21
4 PPIC 08.03.12 2001 A +/-3.5



3 Field 23.02.12 1003 RV +/-3.4 55 35 10 20
2 Rasmussen 17.02.12 500 LV +/-4.5 57 35 8 22
1 SUSA 10.02.12 2088 RV +/-2.1 60 31 9 29


CBRT/ Pepperdine is the only pollster to really come close to Obama's current margin, off by +0.90% at current, but the others had him in the middle to low teens, so the end polling average of  Obama +15.90 is 6.20 points off the the actual result. That is pretty damned bad, but good for Obama, for he really outperformed here.

Why did he outperform? Most likely because - as I have complained over and over and over again in numerous battleground reports from October, the Latino vote was grossly and falsely undercalculated, despite all growing evidence to the contrary - that the Latino vote was going to literally explode in 2012. And it did.  In most all of the states with very large Latino populations, Obama outperformed the end-polling statistics, which tell us that 

a.) LV screens are not all that they are chalked up to be.
b.) it is time to face the reality of a new electorate demographic.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


So, how many more votes are still out there? 

Nobody knows absolutely for certain, but votes are still being tablulated from King and Snohomish counties in Washington State and Multnomah County is still tabulating in Oregon - both states that continue to show a rise in the Obama margin. And those are big counties.

There have been absolutely no updates for New York, New Jersey, Maine and Massachusetts since election night, and surely at least 300,000 more votes (if not 1,000,000, even) will come out of these four states combined. The up-to 300,000 provisional ballots in Ohio are being tabulated, but the figures have not been released. So, just those votes added to the 176,000 out of California tell me that at least 1,000,000 votes are still out, but it really could go as high as 2,000,000, because lots of little fish make one big fish: if the other 40 states all post just small vote gains in the end-canvasses, then that will add up to a large vote gain. I am pretty certain that we will now hit 127 million, but it really could go as high as 128 million, and with Obama at +3.32% right now, he could  climb as high as +3.50%, which would be about a +1.2% margin gain over election night (he was at +2.2 on election night and +2.54 as of 11/09, EXACTLY as happened 2008, where he went from +6.1 on election night to +7.3 after all was said and done.

So, the pattern we are seeing here is nothing new: it is absolutely in-line with the procedures of the respective states for a number of cycles now.

Here the bulk of the table as of 11/22/2012, 07:00 EST:


USA DEM GOP IND Total DEM % GOP % IND % Margin Mar % USA % of NPV growth rate













2012 64179815 59992933 2102194 126274942 50,83% 47,51% 1,66% 4186882 3,32% 2012 100,00%
2008 69499428 59950323 2009529 131459280 52,87% 45,60% 1,53% 9549105 7,26% 2008 100,00%
Diff: -5319613 42610 92665 -5184338 -2,04% 1,91% 0,14% -5362223 -3,95% Diff: 0,00% -3,94%


























Alabama 2012 794428 1254214 18658 2067300 38,43% 60,67% 0,90% 459786 22,24% Alabama 2012 1,64%
Alabama 2008 813479 1266546 19794 2099819 38,74% 60,32% 0,94% 453067 21,58% Alabama 2008 1,60%
Diff: -19051 -12332 -1136 -32519 -0,31% 0,35% -0,04% 6719 0,66% Diff: 0,04% -1,55%













Alaska 2012 122533 164599 13249 300381 40,79% 54,80% 4,41% 42066 14,00% Alaska 2012 0,24%
Alaska 2008 123594 193841 8762 326197 37,89% 59,42% 2,69% 70247 21,54% Alaska 2008 0,25%
Diff: -1061 -29242 4487 -25816 2,90% -4,63% 1,72% -28181 -7,53% Diff: -0,01% -7,91%













Arizona 2012 1025232 1233654 47673 2306559 44,45% 53,48% 2,07% 208422 9,04% Arizona 2012 1,83%
Arizona 2008 1034707 1230111 39020 2303838 44,91% 53,39% 1,69% 195404 8,48% Arizona 2008 1,75%
Diff: -9475 3543 8653 2721 -0,46% 0,09% 0,37% 13018 0,55% Diff: 0,07% 0,12%













Arkansas 2012 394409 647744 27315 1069468 36,88% 60,57% 2,55% 253335 23,69% Arkansas 2012 0,85%
Arkansas 2008 422310 638017 26290 1086617 38,86% 58,72% 2,42% 215707 19,85% Arkansas 2008 0,83%
Diff: -27901 9727 1025 -17149 -1,99% 1,85% 0,13% 37628 3,84% Diff: 0,02% -1,58%

DEM GOP IND Total DEM % GOP % IND % Margin Mar % USA % of NPV growth rate
California 2012 7262836 4580933 294124 12137893 59,84% 37,74% 2,42% 2681903 22,10% California 2012 9,61%
California 2008 8274473 5011781 291011 13577265 60,94% 36,91% 2,14% 3262692 24,03% California 2008 10,33%
Diff: -1011637 -430848 3113 -1439372 -1,11% 0,83% 0,28% -580789 -1,94% Diff: -0,72% -10,60%













Colorado 2012 1305273 1166117 59908 2531298 51,57% 46,07% 2,37% 139156 5,50% Colorado 2012 2,00%
Colorado 2008 1288633 1073629 39200 2401462 53,66% 44,71% 1,63% 215004 8,95% Colorado 2008 1,83%
Diff: 16640 92488 20708 129836 -2,09% 1,36% 0,73% -75848 -3,46% Diff: 0,18% 5,41%













Connecticut 2012 912531 631432 18220 1562183 58,41% 40,42% 1,17% 281099 17,99% Connecticut 2012 1,24%
Connecticut 2008 997773 629428 19592 1646793 60,59% 38,22% 1,19% 368345 22,37% Connecticut 2008 1,25%
Diff: -85242 2004 -1372 -84610 -2,18% 2,20% -0,02% -87246 -4,37% Diff: -0,02% -5,14%













Delaware 2012 * 242584 165484 5822 413890 58,61% 39,98% 1,41% 77100 18,63% Delaware 2012 0,33%
Delaware 2008 255459 152374 4783 412616 61,91% 36,93% 1,16% 103085 24,98% Delaware 2008 0,31%
Diff: -12875 13110 1039 1274 -3,30% 3,05% 0,25% -25985 -6,36% Diff: 0,01% 0,31%













DC 2012 233059 18733 4559 256351 90,91% 7,31% 1,78% 214326 83,61% DC 2012 0,20%
DC 2008 245800 17367 2686 265853 92,46% 6,53% 1,01% 228433 85,92% DC 2008 0,20%
Diff: -12741 1366 1873 -9502 -1,54% 0,78% 0,77% -14107 -2,32% Diff: 0,00% -3,57%













Florida 2012 * 4237756 4163447 72976 8474179 50,01% 49,13% 0,86% 74309 0,88% Florida 2012 6,71%
Florida 2008 4282367 4046219 83275 8411861 50,91% 48,10% 0,99% 236148 2,81% Florida 2008 6,40%
Diff: -44611 117228 -10299 62318 -0,90% 1,03% -0,13% -161839 -1,93% Diff: 0,31% 0,74%













Georgia 2012 * 1773827 2078688 45324 3897839 45,51% 53,33% 1,16% 304861 7,82% Georgia 2012 3,09%
Georgia 2008 1844123 2048759 39276 3932158 46,90% 52,10% 1,00% 204636 5,20% Georgia 2008 2,99%
Diff: -70296 29929 6048 -34319 -1,39% 1,23% 0,16% 100225 2,62% Diff: 0,10% -0,87%













Hawaii 2012 306545 120975 7019 434539 70,54% 27,84% 1,62% 185570 42,71% Hawaii 2012 0,34%
Hawaii 2008 325871 120566 7131 453568 71,85% 26,58% 1,57% 205305 45,26% Hawaii 2008 0,35%
Diff: -19326 409 -112 -19029 -1,30% 1,26% 0,04% -19735 -2,56% Diff: 0,00% -4,20%













Idaho 2012 212560 420750 18561 651871 32,61% 64,54% 2,85% 208190 31,94% Idaho 2012 0,52%
Idaho 2008 236440 403012 19002 658454 35,91% 61,21% 2,89% 166572 25,30% Idaho 2008 0,50%
Diff: -23880 17738 -441 -6583 -3,30% 3,34% -0,04% 41618 6,64% Diff: 0,02% -1,00%













Illinois 2012 2969449 2031179 84134 5084762 58,40% 39,95% 1,65% 938270 18,45% Illinois 2012 4,03%
Illinois 2008 3419348 2031179 77828 5528355 61,85% 36,74% 1,41% 1388169 25,11% Illinois 2008 4,21%
Diff: -449899 0 6306 -443593 -3,45% 3,21% 0,25% -449899 -6,66% Diff: -0,18% -8,02%













Indiana 2012 1156704 1416247 50945 2623896 44,08% 53,97% 1,94% 259543 9,89% Indiana 2012 2,08%
Indiana 2008 1374039 1345648 35903 2755590 49,86% 48,83% 1,30% 28391 1,03% Indiana 2008 2,10%
Diff: -217335 70599 15042 -131694 -5,78% 5,14% 0,64% -287934 10,92% Diff: -0,02% -4,78%













Iowa 2012 822523 730593 29018 1582134 51,99% 46,18% 1,83% 91930 5,81% Iowa 2012 1,25%
Iowa 2008 828940 682379 25804 1537123 53,93% 44,39% 1,68% 146561 9,53% Iowa 2008 1,17%
Diff: -6417 48214 3214 45011 -1,94% 1,78% 0,16% -54631 -3,72% Diff: 0,08% 2,93%













Kansas 2012 430750 679738 24607 1135095 37,95% 59,88% 2,17% 248988 21,94% Kansas 2012 0,90%
Kansas 2008 514765 699655 23996 1238416 41,57% 56,50% 1,94% 184890 14,93% Kansas 2008 0,94%
Diff: -84015 -19917 611 -103321 -3,62% 3,39% 0,23% 64098 7,01% Diff: -0,04% -8,34%













Kentucky 2012 679364 1087150 30273 1796787 37,81% 60,51% 1,68% 407786 22,70% Kentucky 2012 1,42%
Kentucky 2008 751985 1048462 27140 1827587 41,15% 57,37% 1,49% 296477 16,22% Kentucky 2008 1,39%
Diff: -72621 38688 3133 -30800 -3,34% 3,14% 0,20% 111309 6,47% Diff: 0,03% -1,69%













Louisiana 2012 * 808496 1152460 32599 1993555 40,56% 57,81% 1,64% 343964 17,25% Louisiana 2008 1,58%
Louisiana 2008 782989 1148275 29497 1960761 39,93% 58,56% 1,50% 365286 18,63% Louisiana 2012 1,49%
Diff: 25507 4185 3102 32794 0,62% -0,75% 0,13% -21322 -1,38% Diff: 0,09% 1,67%













Maine 2012 398043 290678 22547 711268 55,96% 40,87% 3,17% 107365 15,09% Maine 2012 0,56%
Maine 2008 421923 295273 13967 731163 57,71% 40,38% 1,91% 126650 17,32% Maine 2008 0,56%
Diff: -23880 -4595 8580 -19895 -1,74% 0,48% 1,26% -19285 -2,23% Diff: 0,01% -2,72%













Maryland 2012 1677844 971869 57614 2707327 61,97% 35,90% 2,13% 705975 26,08% Maryland 2012 2,14%
Maryland 2008 1629467 959862 42267 2631596 61,92% 36,47% 1,61% 669605 25,44% Maryland 2008 2,00%
Diff: 48377 12007 15347 75731 0,05% -0,58% 0,52% 36370 0,63% Diff: 0,14% 2,88%













Massachusetts 2012 1901899 1178055 50189 3130143 60,76% 37,64% 1,60% 723844 23,12% Massachusetts 2012 2,48%
Massachusetts 2008 1904098 1108854 68117 3081069 61,80% 35,99% 2,21% 795244 25,81% Massachusetts 2008 2,34%
Diff: -2199 69201 -17928 49074 -1,04% 1,65% -0,61% -71400 -2,69% Diff: 0,14% 1,59%













Michigan 2012 2561911 2112673 43144 4717728 54,30% 44,78% 0,91% 449238 9,52% Michigan 2012 3,74%
Michigan 2008 2872579 2048639 88976 5010194 57,33% 40,89% 1,78% 823940 16,45% Michigan 2008 3,81%
Diff: -310668 64034 -45832 -292466 -3,03% 3,89% -0,86% -374702 -6,92% Diff: -0,08% -5,84%













Minnesota 2012 1546149 1320219 70257 2936625 52,65% 44,96% 2,39% 225930 7,69% Minnesota 2012 2,33%
Minnesota 2008 1573354 1275409 61606 2910369 54,06% 43,82% 2,12% 297945 10,24% Minnesota 2008 2,21%
Diff: -27205 44810 8651 26256 -1,41% 1,13% 0,28% -72015 -2,54% Diff: 0,11% 0,90%













Mississippi 2012 558140 707036 10473 1275649 43,75% 55,43% 0,82% 148896 11,67% Mississippi 2012 1,01%
Mississippi 2008 554662 724597 10606 1289865 43,00% 56,18% 0,82% 169935 13,17% Mississippi 2008 0,98%
Diff: 3478 -17561 -133 -14216 0,75% -0,75% 0,00% -21039 -1,50% Diff: 0,03% -1,10%













Missouri 2012 1220699 1480708 51038 2752445 44,35% 53,80% 1,85% 260009 9,45% Missouri 2012 2,18%
Missouri 2008 1441911 1445814 41224 2928949 49,23% 49,36% 1,41% 3903 0,13% Missouri 2008 2,23%
Diff: -221212 34894 9814 -176504 -4,88% 4,43% 0,45% 256106 9,31% Diff: -0,05% -6,03%













Montana 2012 201839 267928 14165 483932 41,71% 55,36% 2,93% 66089 13,66% Montana 2012 0,38%
Montana 2008 232159 243882 16709 492750 47,11% 49,49% 3,39% 11723 2,38% Montana 2008 0,37%
Diff: -30320 24046 -2544 -8818 -5,41% 5,87% -0,46% 54366 11,28% Diff: 0,01% -1,79%













Nebraska 2012 301331 474907 13165 789403 38,17% 60,16% 1,67% 173576 21,99% Nebraska 2012 0,63%
Nebraska 2008 333319 452979 14983 801281 41,60% 56,53% 1,87% 119660 14,93% Nebraska 2008 0,61%
Diff: -31988 21928 -1818 -11878 -3,43% 3,63% -0,20% 53916 7,05% Diff: 0,02% -1,48%













NE-02 0 0 0 0 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 0 #DIV/0! NE-02 0,00%
2008 138809 135439 3561 277809 49,97% 48,75% 1,28% 3370 1,21% 2008 0,21%
Diff: -138809 -135439 -3561 -277809 #DIV/0! #DIV/0! #DIV/0! 3370 #DIV/0! Diff: -0,21% -100,00%













Nevada 2012 531373 463567 19890 1014830 52,36% 45,68% 1,96% 67806 6,68% Nevada 2012 0,80%
Nevada 2008 533736 412827 21285 967848 55,15% 42,65% 2,20% 120909 12,49% Nevada 2008 0,74%
Diff: -2363 50740 -1395 46982 -2,79% 3,03% -0,24% -53103 -5,81% Diff: 0,07% 4,85%













New Hampshire 2012 * 369553 329910 11452 710915 51,98% 46,41% 1,61% 39643 5,58% New Hampshire 2012 0,56%
New Hampshire 2008 384826 316534 9610 710970 54,13% 44,52% 1,35% 68292 9,61% New Hampshire 2008 0,54%
Diff: -15273 13376 1842 -55 -2,14% 1,88% 0,26% -28649 -4,03% Diff: 0,02% -0,01%













New Jersey 2012 1974868 1393863 40709 3409440 57,92% 40,88% 1,19% 581005 17,04% New Jersey 2012 2,70%
New Jersey 2008 2215422 1613207 48778 3877407 57,14% 41,61% 1,26% 602215 15,53% 2008 2,95%
Diff: -240554 -219344 -8069 -467967 0,79% -0,72% -0,06% -21210 1,51% Diff: -0,25% -12,07%













New Mexico 2012 415140 335593 32617 783350 53,00% 42,84% 4,16% 79547 10,15% New Mexico 2012 0,62%
New Mexico 2008 472422 346832 10904 830158 56,91% 41,78% 1,31% 125590 15,13% New Mexico 2008 0,63%
Diff: -57282 -11239 21713 -46808 -3,91% 1,06% 2,85% -46043 -4,97% Diff: -0,01% -5,64%













New York 2012 3875826 2226637 86519 6188982 62,62% 35,98% 1,40% 1649189 26,65% New York 2012 4,90%
New York 2008 4804945 2752771 83232 7640948 62,88% 36,03% 1,09% 2052174 26,86% New York 2008 5,81%
Diff: -929119 -526134 3287 -1451966 -0,26% -0,05% 0,31% -402985 -0,21% Diff: -0,91% -19,00%













North Carolina 2012 2178388 2275853 44798 4499039 48,42% 50,59% 1,00% 97465 2,17% North Carolina 2012 3,56%
North Carolina 2008 2142651 2128474 39664 4310789 49,70% 49,38% 0,92% 14177 0,33% North Carolina 2008 3,28%
Diff: 35737 147379 5134 188250 -1,29% 1,21% 0,08% -111642 2,50% Diff: 0,28% 4,37%













North Dakota 2012 * 124966 188320 9646 322932 38,70% 58,32% 2,99% 63354 19,62% North Dakota 2012 0,26%
North Dakota 2008 141403 168887 7448 317738 44,50% 53,15% 2,34% 27484 8,65% North Dakota 2008 0,24%
Diff: -16437 19433 2198 5194 -5,81% 5,16% 0,64% 35870 10,97% Diff: 0,01% 1,63%













Ohio 2012 2698320 2595473 88138 5381931 50,14% 48,23% 1,64% 102847 1,91% Ohio 2012 4,26%
Ohio 2008 2940044 2677820 103951 5721815 51,38% 46,80% 1,82% 262224 4,58% Ohio 2008 4,35%
Diff: -241724 -82347 -15813 -339884 -1,25% 1,43% -0,18% -159377 -2,67% Diff: -0,09% -5,94%













Oklahoma 2012 443547 891325 0 1334872 33,23% 66,77% 0,00% 447778 33,54% Oklahoma 2012 1,06%
Oklahoma 2008 502496 960165 0 1462661 34,35% 65,65% 0,00% 457669 31,29% Oklahoma 2008 1,11%
Diff: -58949 -68840 0 -127789 -1,13% 1,13% 0,00% -9891 2,25% Diff: -0,06% -8,74%













Oregon 2012 957456 747151 60733 1765340 54,24% 42,32% 3,44% 210305 11,91% Oregon 2012 1,40%
Oregon 2008 1037291 738475 52098 1827864 56,75% 40,40% 2,85% 298816 16,35% Oregon 2008 1,39%
Diff: -79835 8676 8635 -62524 -2,51% 1,92% 0,59% -88511 -4,43% Diff: 0,01% -3,42%













Pennsylvania 2012 2930447 2646717 70060 5647224 51,89% 46,87% 1,24% 283730 5,02% Pennsylvania 2012 4,47%
Pennsylvania 2008 3276363 2655885 83228 6015476 54,47% 44,15% 1,38% 620478 10,31% Pennsylvania 2008 4,58%
Diff: -345916 -9168 -13168 -368252 -2,57% 2,72% -0,14% -336748 -5,29% Diff: -0,10% -6,12%













Rhode Island 2012 279677 157204 9168 446049 62,70% 35,24% 2,06% 122473 27,46% Rhode Island 2012 0,35%
Rhode Island 2008 296571 165391 9804 471766 62,86% 35,06% 2,08% 131180 27,81% Rhode Island 2008 0,36%
Diff: -16894 -8187 -636 -25717 -0,16% 0,19% -0,02% -8707 -0,35% Diff: -0,01% -5,45%













South Carolina 2012 * 865941 1071645 26532 1964118 44,09% 54,56% 1,35% 205704 10,47% South Carolina 2012 1,56%
South Carolina 2008 862449 1034896 23624 1920969 44,90% 53,87% 1,23% 172447 8,98% South Carolina 2008 1,46%
Diff: 3492 36749 2908 43149 -0,81% 0,69% 0,12% 33257 1,50% Diff: 0,09% 2,25%













South Dakota 2012 * 145039 210610 8166 363815 39,87% 57,89% 2,24% 65571 18,02% South Dakota 2012 0,29%
South Dakota 2008 170924 203054 7997 381975 44,75% 53,16% 2,09% 32130 8,41% South Dakota 2008 0,29%
Diff: -25885 7556 169 -18160 -4,88% 4,73% 0,15% 33441 9,61% Diff: 0,00% -4,75%













Tennessee 2012 959054 1459965 35451 2454470 39,07% 59,48% 1,44% 500911 20,41% Tennessee 2012 1,94%
Tennessee 2008 1087437 1479178 35367 2601982 41,79% 56,85% 1,36% 391741 15,06% Tennessee 2008 1,98%
Diff: -128383 -19213 84 -147512 -2,72% 2,63% 0,09% 109170 5,35% Diff: -0,04% -5,67%













Texas 2012 3301958 4563324 114329 7979611 41,38% 57,19% 1,43% 1261366 15,81% Texas 2012 6,32%
Texas 2008 3528633 4479328 79247 8087208 43,63% 55,39% 0,98% 950695 11,76% Texas 2008 6,15%
Diff: -226675 83996 35082 -107597 -2,25% 1,80% 0,45% 310671 4,05% Diff: 0,17% -1,33%













Utah 2012 232986 693976 22963 949925 24,53% 73,06% 2,42% 460990 48,53% Utah 2012 0,75%
Utah 2008 327670 596030 33781 957481 34,22% 62,25% 3,53% 268360 28,03% Utah 2008 0,73%
Diff: -94684 97946 -10818 -7556 -9,70% 10,81% -1,11% 192630 20,50% Diff: 0,02% -0,79%













Vermont 2012 * 199239 92698 7353 299290 66,57% 30,97% 2,46% 106541 35,60% Vermont 2012 0,24%
Vermont 2008 219262 98974 6810 325046 67,46% 30,45% 2,10% 120288 37,01% Vermont 2008 0,25%
Diff: -20023 -22206 543 -41686 -0,89% 0,52% 0,36% 2183 -1,41% Diff: -0,01% -12,82%













Virginia 2012 1971820 1822520 60147 3854487 51,16% 47,28% 1,56% 149300 3,87% Virginia 2012 3,05%
Virginia 2008 1959532 1725005 38723 3723260 52,63% 46,33% 1,04% 234527 6,30% Virginia 2008 2,83%
Diff: 12288 97515 21424 131227 -1,47% 0,95% 0,52% -85227 -2,43% Diff: 0,22% 3,52%













Washington 2012 1747342 1286258 78905 3112505 56,14% 41,33% 2,54% 461084 14,81% Washington 2012 2,46%
Washington 2008 1750848 1229216 73152 3053216 57,34% 40,26% 2,40% 521632 17,08% Washington 2008 2,32%
Diff: -3506 57042 5753 59289 -1,20% 1,07% 0,14% -60548 -2,27% Diff: 0,14% 1,94%













West Virginia 2012 234925 412406 14312 661643 35,51% 62,33% 2,16% 177481 26,82% West Virginia 2012 0,52%
West Virginia 2008 303857 397466 13545 714868 42,51% 55,60% 1,89% 93609 13,09% West Virginia 2008 0,54%
Diff: -68932 14940 767 -53225 -7,00% 6,73% 0,27% 83872 13,73% Diff: -0,02% -7,45%













Wisconsin 2012 1613950 1408746 33917 3056613 52,80% 46,09% 1,11% 205204 6,71% Wisconsin 2012 2,42%
Wisconsin 2008 1677211 1262393 43813 2983417 56,22% 42,31% 1,47% 414818 13,90% Wisconsin 2008 2,27%
Diff: -63261 146353 -9896 73196 -3,42% 3,77% -0,36% -209614 -7,19% Diff: 0,15% 2,45%













Wyoming 2012 * 69286 170962 8813 249061 27,82% 68,64% 3,54% 101676 40,82% Wyoming 2012 0,20%
Wyoming 2008 82868 164958 5023 252849 32,77% 65,24% 1,99% 82090 32,47% Wyoming 2008 0,19%
Diff: -13582 6004 3790 -3788 -4,95% 3,40% 1,55% 19586 8,36% Diff: 0,00% -1,50%

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