01 October 2012

51 state BIOS + BATTLEGROUND / ELECTORAL LANDSCAPE REPORT REPOSITORY


Dear Friends from various sites: Political Hotwire, USELECTIONATLAS, Democratic Convention Watch, etc!!!

Because I have posted so much data over the last 4 years and the inquiries about exactly where to find it has been large, and the data is not always so easy to find, here are two tables where you can find data in an orderly way.

Consider this to be a „one-stop for everything“ thread for links galore and I would like to encourage you to bookmark this thread.

51 „State“ Bios!


First, at the End of 2011, in the tradition of 2007, I wrote 51 „state“ Bios (including DC). They are incredibly detailed. At blogger, I have posted a PRIMER of how to navigate through these monsters. I have to say, this was a real labor of love on my part and I am thrilled to have done this project. The amount of knowlege gained from this was just immense and on top of it, it was as fun as can be. Surely there is a typo or two to be found in the reports – I am still combing through them, and as soon as the final canvasses from 2012 have been entered into the Congressional Record, I will update those reports, looking toward 2012. Here is a TABLE with links to each report. In the left column, the states are listing in order of partisan ranking, based on their performance in 2008. The next column has links to the exact same reports, but alphabetical. Those report links are to the Electoral Statistics subsection of the Library at Political Hotwire. Those same reports are also at BLOGGER, but I have not linked them into a table yet. The content is identical. Why not go to the table and click on your state and see what you can learn? It was a blast to do and I hope you enjoy reading the reports. BTW, the table linked above is also at the bottom of this thread.


The BATTLEGROUND REPORTS and the larger REPORTS:


Below, a table of the BATTLEGROUND reports and the larger reports for both 2012 and 2008, by corresponding day. For instance, the corresponding day to October 5th, 2012, a Friday, 32 days away from the election, is Friday, October 3rd, 2008, and so on.

This is a very handy way to check out the current BATTLEGROUND REPORTS (posted both at Political Hotwire and in BLOGGER) and compare them to their corresponding reports from 2008.

The larger reports, which cover the entire Union and always have an electoral map prediction within, had a different name in 2008: they were called a „Poll Convergence“ from me back then and there were 12 of them. The convergence itself was the raw data from the polls – all of them. The actual report based upon the raw data was called the „Distillation.“

For 2012, I changed the name of the distillation to „Electoral Landscape“, with a link within the report to all the raw data, now presented as an EXCEL document, archived at GOOGLE DOCS. The links to the ELECTORAL LANDSCAPES are here in the table, both for PH and BLOGGER -bolded and in green-. For instance, the link for the date „2012-09-029“ is not a link to a BATTLEGROUND REPORT, but rather, to an „ELECTORAL LANDSCAPE“. These are long reports: have coffee at hand!

In the last two columns, you will see links to other articles I posted that I thought would be of interest to many people. Notice the RED STATE REPORT in the „other from 2012“ column. It will be updated pretty regularly.

This table will be updated every day with links to the newest BATTLEGROUND REPORTS and ELECTORAL LANDSCAPES from 2012 as they happen:



T-Minus
DAY
Date
From 2008
Other from 2008
Other from 2012
42
Tuesday
---


41
Wednesday
---

40
Thursday


39
Friday


38
Saturday
none


37
Sunday

36
Monday

35
Tuesday

34
Wednesday


33
Thursday

32
Friday

31
Saturday
none

30
Sunday
29
Monday


28
Tuesday


27
Wednesday

26
Thursday


25
Friday


24
Saturday


23
Sunday

22
Monday

21
Tuesday
none


20
Wednesday
none


19
Thursday
none

18
Friday

17
Saturday


16
Sunday
2012-10-021


15
Monday
2012-10-022


14
Tuesday
2012-10-023


13
Wednesday
2012-10-024


12
Thursday
2012-10-025


11
Friday
2012-10-026
none

10
Saturday
2012-10-027
none

9
Sunday
2012-10-028

8
Monday
2012-10-029


7
Tuesday
2012-10-030


6
Wednesday
2012-10-031


5
Thursday
2012-11-001


4
Friday
2012-11-002


3
Saturday
2012-11-003
none

2
Sunday
2012-11-004


1
Monday
2012-11-005
none


0
Tuesday
2012-11-006
none


New State Partisan Ranking Bios – based on 2008, looking toward 2012.
Note: these links from PH are currently defunct will be replaced as soon as possible with links from blogspot. But you can just do a seach at blogspot for the desired report for now.

State in Ranking Order State - Alphabetical Statewide County-by-County (.xls)
01 / 51: District of Columbia Alabama AL Excel 2008-2004
02 / 50: Hawaii Alaska AK Excel 2008-2004
03 / 49: Vermont Arizona AZ Excel 2008-2004
04 / 48: Rhode Island Arkansas AR Excel 2008-2004
05 / 47: New York California CA Excel 2008-2004
06 / 46: Massachusetts Colorado CO Excel 2008-2004
07 / 45: Maryland Connecticut CT Excel 2008-2004
08 / 44: Illinois Delaware DE Excel 2008-2004
09 / 43: Delaware Florida FL Excel 2008-2004
10 / 42: California District of Columbia Excel 2008-2004 - does not exist
11 / 41: Connecticut Georgia GA Excel 2008-2004
12 / 40: Maine Hawaii HI Excel 2008-2004
13 / 39: Washington (State) Idaho ID Excel 2008-2004
14 / 38: Michigan Illinois IL Excel 2008-2004
15 / 37: Oregon Indiana IN Excel 2008-2004
16 / 36: New Jersey Iowa IA Excel 2008-2004
17 / 35: New Mexico Kansas KS Excel 2008-2004
18 / 34: Wisconsin Kentucky KY Excel 2008-2004
19 / 33: Nevada Louisiana LA Excel 2008-2004
20 / 32: Pennsylvania Maine ME Excel 2008-2004
21 / 31: Minnesota Maryland MD Excel 2008-2004
22 / 30: New Hampshire Massachusetts MA Excel 2008-2004
23 / 29: Iowa Michigan MI Excel 2008-2004
24 / 28: Colorado Minnesota MN Excel 2008-2004
25 / 27: Virginia Mississippi MS Excel 2008-2004
26 / 26: Ohio Missouri MO Excel 2008-2004
27 / 25: Florida Montana MT Excel 2008-2004
28 / 24: Indiana Nebraska NE Excel 2008-2004
29 / 23: North Carolina Nevada NV Excel 2008-2004
30 / 22: Missouri New Hampshire NH Excel 2008-2004
31 / 21: Montana New Jersey NJ Excel 2008-2004
32 / 20: Georgia New Mexico NM Excel 2008-2004
33 / 19: South Dakota New York NY Excel 2008-2004
34 / 18: Arizona North Carolina NC Excel 2008-2004
35 / 17: North Dakota North Dakota ND Excel 2008-2004
36 / 16: South Carolina Ohio OH Excel 2008-2004
37 / 15: Texas Oklahoma OK Excel 2008-2004
38 / 14: West Virginia Oregon OR Excel 2008-2004
39 / 13: Mississippi Pennsylvania PA Excel 2008-2004
40 / 12: Kansas Rhode Island RI Excel 2008-2004
41 / 11: Nebraska South Carolina SD Excel 2008-2004
42 / 10: Tennessee South Dakota SD Excel 2008-2004
43 / 09: Kentucky Tennessee TN Excel 2008-2004
44 / 08: Louisiana Texas TX Excel 2008-2004
45 / 07: Arkansas Utah UT Excel 2008-2004
46 / 06: Alaska Vermont VT Excel 2008-2004
47 / 05: Alabama Virginia VA Excel 2008-2004
48 / 04: Idaho Washington (State) WA Excel 2008-2004
49 / 03: Utah West Virginia WV Excel 2008-2004
50 / 02: Oklahoma Wisconsin WI Excel 2008-2004
51 / 01: Wyoming Wyoming Excel 2008-2004

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