09 February 2012

I was just about to trash Don Trump, but KOS beat me to it...




In his video expressing his amazement that Rick Santorum won three contests in a row, Don Trump claimed that Rick Santorum got whipped in his 2006 Senate re-election by the most crushing margin ever. He also mis-reported his losing margin from 2006 as 19% (three times). Santorum lost by 17.4%.

Not true. Lie. False. Stoopid.

I was just getting ready to put out a thread on this, and damn, KOS beat me to it! :)

Here from KOS:

"Incumbent Senators Defeated by Largest Margins in a General Election:
1914-2008 (2010 - Bonncaruso edit...)

1980 Jacob Javits    33.8       
1932 Wesley Jones    27.9       
1968 Ernest Gruening    27.7       
1964 James Glenn Beall    25.6       
1938 F. Ryan Duffy    23.0       
1978 William Hathaway    22.7       
1928 Thomas Bayard    21.9       
1958 Frederick Payne    21.6     
2010 Blanche Lincoln 21.0    
1934 Simeon Fess    20.6     
1942 George Norris    20.4       
1948 Joseph Ball    20.2       
1946 David Walsh    19.9       
1934 Roscoe Patterson    19.8       
1946 Joseph Guffey    19.5       
1930 James Thomas Heflin    19.4       
1980 George McGovern    18.8       
1958 John Hoblitzell    18.6       
1922 Gilbert Hitchcock    18.6       
1978 Floyd Haskell    18.4       
1976 Vance Hartke    18.3       
1976 John Glenn Beall    17.7       
1974 Peter Dominck    17.7       
1956 Herman Walker    17.5
2006 Rick Santorum 17.4 "

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I added Blanche Lincoln to that list. So, Santorum's drubbing in 2006 was not the worst one, it was the 25th worst.

You say that a presidential-ticket candidate who lost before can never win? Nope. Stop the presses:

1920 Presidential Election:

Harding / Coolidge (R): 60.32%
Cox / FDR (D): 34.15%

Margin: Harding / Coolidge (R) +26.17%, the largest winning margin in our Union's history - EVER.
Notice the Democratic VP candidate: FDR.

He came back 12 years later to defeat Hoover by +17.76% in 1932!

I am not saying that in the event that Santorum gets the GOP nod, that he can beat President Obama. He probably can't. But there is statistical, historical precedent that a candidate who has lost big in the past can come back to win later on.

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