With only 1,548 votes left to count (two weeks ago it was 369,102, on the Tuesday following it was 237,163, on Wednesday it was 173,878, on Thursday it was 122,453, on 11/13, it was 91,878 ), Murray's lead has increased from +4.30% to +4.75%,

__exactly as predicted__.

Murray: 1,314,023 (52.37%)

Rossi: 1,194,926 (47.63%)

Subtotal: 2,508,949

Margin: Murray +119,097 votes, +4.75% (119,097 / 2,508,949)

Of the 1,548 votes left to count, which will make 2,510,497 total for WA for 2010, those 1,548 votes make up 6 100ths of a percent (0.06%), so, even assuming a Rossi 70-30 win over the remaining votes, the percentages should stay the same and the margin will be either +4.74% or +4.75%, depending on end-total rounding.

On 11/13, I wrote about King County:

*"Murray has expanded her margin to +29.50%. Very likely she will edge up close to a +30% margin in King County."*

Indeed, Murray has landed at +29.84% in King County (Seattle).

Of the "Murray" counties, here are the votes left to tally:

Grays Harbor: all votes COUNTED: Murray 51.73 / Rossi 48.27 - +3.46 margin) -

**-0.10 for Murray**since 11/13

Jefferson: 20 (currently Murray 63.01 / Rossi 36.99 - +26.02 margin)- -

**UNCHANGED**from 11/13.

King: ALL VOTES COUNTED: Murray 64.92 / Rossi 35.08 - +29.85 margin- +0.35% margin gain for Murray over 11/13.

Pacific: 50 (currently Murray 53.15 / Rossi 46.85 - +6.30 margin)-

**UNCHANGED**from 11/13.

Snohomish: all votes COUNTED: Murray 51.86 / Rossi 48.14 - +3.72 margin)- -0.04 margin loss for Murray since 11/13.

Thurston: 165 (currently Murray 56.14 / Rossi 43.86 - +12.28 margin)-

**+0.14% margin increase for Murray**from 11/13.

Whatcom: all votes COUNTED:Murray 52.49 / Rossi 47.51 - +5.09 margin, +0.04% margin gain for Murray over 11/13.

Total votes left to count from "Murray" counties: 335. So, of 1,548 votes left to count overall, the other 1,213 votes are from "Rossi" counties. The "Rossi" counties with the most votes left out are Stevens and Walla Walla counties, with 780 votes total left to count, and those are both counties with +30% margins for Rossi.

In Spokane county: all votes COUNTED:

__Rossi__56.27 /

__Murray 43.75__- +12.52 margin, a -0.08% margin drop for Rossi since 11/13.

The ratio of votes from "Murray" counties left to count versus "Rossi" counties left to count was 2.97 to 1 on 11/13, it is now

**1 to 3.62**. This is the first time in the counting where more "Rossi" votes are out than Murray votes, but since all remaining votes only account for 0.06% of the total vote, it now makes no difference.

Two weeks ago, I wrote:

*"Therefore, the statistical probability is high that Murray's vote margin will definitely go over 100,000 and her percentage margin could climb up to just under +4.5, 0.5% higher than I posted a couple of months ago."*

Thursday two weeks ago I wrote:

*"She is already over +100,000 votes in margin and will surely stay there. +4.5 at the end of this all looks more and more likely."*

On 11/13, I wrote:

*"She is now at +4.3. +4.5 is all but guaranteed now."*

She now stands at +4.75%. The race was not even close at the end of the day. Just to compare and to put this into perspective, Murray won her re-election with a higher margin than George W. Bush won with in Ohio, Colorado and Nevada in both 2000 and 2004. She won better than either presidential candidate in Pennsylvania, Iowa, or Wisconsin in either 2000 or 2004. Her win in WA in 2010 was more solid than Obama's win in Florida or Ohio in 2008. It was larger than McCain's win in Montana in 2008. It comes very close to McCain's winning margin in Georgia in 2008, a state that became competitive but was never really in doubt.

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Just to be absolutely clear about this point: this race in 2010 in WA for the US Senate is not nearly as close as the races from 2000 (Cantwell vs. Gorton: Cantwell +0.09%) or from 1988 (Gorton vs. Lowry: Gordon +2.17%) or from 1986 (Adams vs. Gorton: Adams +1.98%). But it will be the 4th or 5th closest race in WA for the US Senate since 1962 (19 elections).

__If Murray climbs over +4.79% in margin, then it will be the 5th leanest election since 1962.__It looks certain that it will be the 4th leanest senatorial election in WA since 1962.

So, for those who follow my statistics for 2012, remember this analysis. I have been spot on the mark most of the time, excluding MO in 2008 and the senatorials in NV and CO in 2010.